-Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
–Quinnipiac Poll Has RFK Jr. at 22% in 3-Way Race with Biden and Trump -NYTimes-Sienna poll has Kennedy at 24%
A 2024 Presidential poll by Quinnipiac University found that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets 22% in a three-way race that includes President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.
“When the hypothetical 2024 general election matchup broadens to include environmental lawyer and anti- vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. who is running as an independent candidate, Biden receives 39 percent support, Trump receives 36 percent support, and Kennedy receives 22 percent support.
“Among independents, 36 percent support Kennedy, 31 percent support Trump, and 30 percent support Biden.”
“When progressive activist Cornel West who is running as an independent candidate is added to make a four-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, voters give Biden 36 percent support, Trump 35 percent support, Kennedy 19 percent support, and West 6 percent support. Among independents, 33 percent support Kennedy, 30 percent support Trump, 27 percent support Biden, and 8 percent support West.
“With minority and younger voters seeming intrigued, Kennedy, for now, enjoys the kind of demographic support his charismatic father and uncles generated decades ago,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
In a NYTimes-Sienna Poll, Kennedy gets the support of 24% of registered voters, and in the five battleground states included in the poll, Kennedy gets 26% in Arizona, 24% in Georgia, 26% in Michigan, 23% in Nevada, 23% in Pennsylvania and 22% in Wisconsin.
Biden polls at 33% and Trump at 35% in these same five states, putting RFK Jr. 11 points behind the President and former President.
Another glaring number that comes out of the Times-Sienna poll is that with younger voters, under the age of 44, RFK Jr. is beating both Biden and Trump, with Kennedy at 32%, Biden at 30% and Trump at 29%.
Both the Quinnipiac poll and the Times-Sienna poll give us a similar snapshot of the support for Kennedy at around 23%. An independent candidate for President has not polled north of 20% since Ross Perot hit 30% in the summer of 1992.
And both polls give Kennedy three segments of the American electorate to build his campaign around: Minority voters, younger voters and independents.
And all of the support for Kennedy comes amid a mainstream media blackout of RFK Jr.’s campaign.
