Betting odds for the Democratic Primary in NY-17 have swung wildly over the past two months, with Beth Davidson holding a large lead as late as June 3, with a 64% to 34% lead over Cait Conley. Then, on June 12, the lead shifted drastically to Conley, who now held a 72% to 29% lead over Davidson.
And as of today, June 23, Primary Day, Conley has an 80% to 20% edge over Davidson. Some politicos who are watching this race claim that these types of betting markets are a bad indicator of picking political winners, because anyone can bet on their preferred candidate, including those with large sums of money.
But supporters of Conley claim that her large lead is an indication of the vast support for her campaign, and for Conley to be the candidate who takes on Republican Congressman Mike Lawler in November.